China COVID-19 death toll

 



Four separate academic studies estimate that the recent wave of COVID infections in China killed between 1 million and 1.5 million people. 

The Chinese government has reported just 83,150 COVID-19 deaths in hospitals as of Feb. 9.


  • All four research teams said that their estimates were produced without access to reliable data from China.
  • They analyzed data from earlier outbreaks to estimate the number of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths after Beijing ended its "Zero Covid" policies in December.
  • China's official COVID-19 death toll is "certainly an underreport of all COVID deaths," according to University of North Carolina demographer Yong Cai.
    • At least nine cities in China, including Beijing, have stopped publishing quarterly cremation data.
  • One of the research teams estimated that 90% of the Chinese population was infected in just over a month.
  • A Chinese government epidemiologist last month said that 80% of the Chinese population had been infected. 
  • University of Hong Kong epidemiologist Ben Cowling said that China's decision to end COVID-19 curbs likely led to the fastest spread of a respiratory pandemic virus in recent history.

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