VCs were initially expecting the IPO market to recover by the second half of 2023 but have now pushed their estimates to 2024, considering the current economic conditions and the unstable banking situation. VCs use the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index to judge the number of IPOs expected. For most of March, the index has been above 20, which is "a no-go for IPOs," per Cohen & Company Capital Markets' Jerry Serowik. The IPO window was briefly open between mid-January and February this year when the index dipped below 20.
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